"Dominic Raab: We can get Brexit deal done by October"
www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-44913982
I can only assume that I am misunderstanding what he means by "deal".
For example, "we'll carry on with all EU Rules, regulations, terms and conditions for 5 years" is a deal and one that could be done by October.
It is not possible for us to have agreed the deal the enaction of which will meant that we are actually separate from the EU by March. Not even close.
Absolute and instant separation would cause many UK industries simply to stop. Anythign with an international regulator, anything involving taxation or stock movement, etc. etc. would have to stop. Instantly. The EU [including NI] border would have to be closed.
That's a hard exit.
Now, that obviously is not going to happen. So I assume that this "deal" that can be completed by October will be a statement of a series of intents and timescales, not an actual resolution.
That would mean that come March 2019 we will not be members of the EU, but that pretty much everything else would remain unchanged.
Individual areas will then have an intent and a timescale to adhere to.
e.g. Aviation must agree a new regulatory structure and reach agreements with individual countries with 5 years.
However, that will then put the negotiation and progress within the control of the industry. And the industry doesn't want Brexit. So what do we think will happen there?
I'd guess they'll negotiate and agree something which can't be called membership but is otherwise identical and will follow all rules and regulations of the EU in order for those agreements to continue as is.
Most industries are similar in that regard.
So, the only thing that I can think that can be "agreed"£ by October is a series of intents, some guiding words and a set of timescales.
Does anybody think that anything else/more can be achieved by October?
This is one time where it will look like a duck, sound like a duck, but it won't actually be a duck.
Last edited by: No FM2R on Sun 22 Jul 18 at 16:24
|
