Arguments deployed by Nicola and Boris may evolve into a repeat of Brexit with roles reversed:
- Sturgeon - sunlit uplands characterised by a casting off the yoke of rule by Westminster (Brussels), "take back control", and as negotiations inevitably stall "get it done".
- Boris may go into Remainer mode - difficult, time consuming, damaging to both countries, project fear.
The vote will likely be close, negotiations will drag on for years over allocation of national debt, border controls, nuclear base, taxation, single market etc etc etc.
Assuming Scottish independence will be as easy (??) as Brexit is wishful thinking - they not only have to exit from one deal, they have to coordinate and agree terms to join another.
Ultimately Sturgeon may adopt the Boris end game - we are going anyway, sign up to whatever deal can be put on the table by a "drop dead" date, and sort out the deficiencies post exit.
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