This was a mid term by-election. It would be complacent to disregard the outcome, but it is more another nail in the coffin, than the funeral service.
Aside from old issues ( Partygate etc) there are some real problems on the immediate horizon - cost of living, inflation, Ukraine, Covid public enquiries, ethics advisor.
There is no doubt his time is probably up. Tory MPs need to decide whether he should limp on and carry any blame going for the problems above, or replaced and risk his successor being tainted.
The next election is likely in December 2024 - 30 months away. If they are going to remove him they certainly have another year to make up their minds, and put his successor in position.
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