Starmer has 1 foot in the grave and the other on a bar of Batley soap - he has not established himself as a leader - PMQs he often fails even when the government bench is vulnerable.
Reasons for possible loss
1) Remainer Labour candidate
2) She campaigns for LGBT rights and this does not go down with many South Asian minority Labour voters
3) used to be solid labour seat 16K majority in recent past, 2019 3,000 IIRC
4) Starmer - who? London/ M25 Labour view, not working class Northern view. Labour lost recent by-election
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