Who will be the PM after the next election?
Starmer - intelligent, decent, balanced. But thus far completely uninspiring. Covid may be the reason for his current poll deficit - proof of this will emerge in the next few months post return to normality and depend on bye-election performance.
Johnson - intelligent, politically astute, communication skills, amoral, lacks integrity. Puts personal ambition above party and electorate. His party will support him unless the polls say otherwise. Then he will be unceremoniously dumped.
None of the above - a lot depends on the post-covid climate. Trying to be unswervingly objective rather than modify the narrative to fit preconceived personal political bias.
Quick recovery in economic growth, no major unemployment, overall neutral covid enquiries (balance of good and bad) - Boris will thrive and Tories will want him as an electoral asset.
Negative covid public enquiries, higher unemployment, economic woes (Brexit or Covid related) and Boris replacement in late 2022. Keir then has a chance if he can hang on in there until 2023.
|