>> The last election was saw massive gains for the Tories because of 'Red Wall' voters
>> looking to 'Get Brexit done' and 'Take back control'.
>> Now Brexit has been done (after a fashion) will they gravitate back to traditional voting
>> allegiances?
This is a brilliant question.
The negative Corbyn factor I believe has worn out - my hard right neighbour says Corbyn is a reason he will never vote Labour but that's just his excuse - interesting that he needs one I thought - because he will never vote Labour.
IMO it's all about Brexit. SKS thinks that which is why he says Labour won't lobby to to back in, or join the customs union or single market.
The Labour party membership are generally pro remain, some like me would rejoin the EU if it were in any way practical. But 70% of Labour constituencies at the referendum were Leave, and that includes the Red Wall ones. Johnson's "Get Brexit Done" did it for enough voters to swing the seats.
Johnson is now revealed as a liar and a cheat, even if a large minority still prefer to think he's been badly done to. SKS has now 'accepted' Brexit. Those factors alone should make a big difference.
One of the Tories' supposed strengths is fiscal probity. They've blown that one if there's any justice. The NHS is near collapse. The Tories think their trump (Trump?) card is being the party of Brexit. So far, Brexit has brought only disappointment, that USP has been diluted and Labour is also trying to shoot their fox.
I tend to think elections are lost, not won. The Tories have lost it, provided that Labour passes on the hygiene factors and campaigns competently. If Labour doesn't get back the Red Wall and at least deny the Tories a majority, they should pack up and go home.
|
