The industry especially in UK is quietly in crisis at the moment from what I glean here and there. At some point it must break.
The statistics are not to be relied on. Because they are supposed to hit 22% EVs this year or pay a £15,000 per unit fine, they have been pre-registering cars anyway. EV's registered in 2023 are still coming on to the market with delivery miles, and many more have been or will be registered this year and remain unsold at the year end. Because they are registered they will of course appear in the new car sales stats.
Dealers will not take used EVs in, which is hurting both values and new sales. The sales stats for EVs are further misleading because a dealer will pre-register a new car, perhaps obtaining a fleet discount if it's invoiced to a related hire business, and then sell it as a pre-reg, thereby recording both a new sale and a used one for the same car.
Some previously evangelical EV buyers have now realised that there are financial risks in owning an expensive EV and that range possibly matters to them more than they thought - especially in winter. The daughter of a friend, a community midwife, this week spent an hour freezing in a traffic gridlock in Aylesbury for fear of flattening the battery of she used the heater. Public fast chargers can be 70p-80p per unit AIUI which means the cost per mile is similar to or more than the cost of dino juice.
If you never do long journeys, your car returns home every night, and you can charge it there then then an EV is almost certainly the right car for you. But it will probably be a very heavily discounted new or pre-registered one, unless you want to gamble on the condition of a battery, the cost of which will quite possibly write the car off if it needs replacing.
The idea that there will be no resistance to a minimum of 80% pure EV supply from 2030 is for the birds. Of course they could still mandate it. but people simply don't want them. And if manufacturers are coerced with financial penalties, there will be immense damage to car retail and such manufacturing as still exists here.
We could conceivably replace one of our cars with EV. But I'm in no hurry. The Popemobile does 5,000 miles a year and fuel cost is not a big issue for us. I suspect when it fails, we will simply reduce to one car plus the MX-5. I will probably look out for a suitable hybrid to replace the Outlander. The Mazda I will keep for as long as I can drive it.
Last edited by: Manatee on Thu 28 Nov 24 at 16:55
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