>> They would be defending home territory from established defensive positions - China would suffer material
>> losses over a possibly long drawn out conflict.
Just like the Maginot line, The Atlantic Wall, Belgiums Fort Eben-Emael, Singapore. Hadians wall,
Fixed defences are great, ideal for keeping your enemy in one place and in a false sense of safety.
Ukraine is large. Big distances Population centres well spread apart. Taiwan is small, heavily populated, military manoeuvring impossible, attack and invasion by a force with little regard for human life means large population losses, losses that would make any government quickly capitulate.
But as I said, invasion like that is unlikely, it would be a useless strategic victory. Give it 50 years (short term Chinese planning) and they will have taken control quasi politically.
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Taiwan new
Taiwan new