The Tories have a large majority with over two years until the next election, and no good reason to call one earlier.
The outcome will depend on what happens with cost of living, inflation, NHS waiting lists, employment etc. Some of this is beyond their control - eg: Ukraine.
Boris went from hero to zero in two years. His successor may reverse his performance.
Starmer has a lead in the polls mainly because he is not Boris. He is perceived as honest and decent, but not remotely inspirational. The Labour party has either failed (certainly not communicated) to come up with a coherent plausible set of alternative strategies.
They need to do much better to be confident of winning.
The election of a new Tory leader is also not dissimilar to the Labour leadership elections in 2019. Corbyn (like Boris) did not want to go - he had to be pushed and still maintains it was unfair.
Contenders included both realistic leadership propositions + initially a collection of fantasists, incompetents, politically extreme etc. Starmer was just the safest air of hands!
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