Non-motoring > Serious rail crash in Germany Miscellaneous
Thread Author: Manatee Replies: 45

 Serious rail crash in Germany - Manatee
If you exclude the side on ones, there are three possible modes of collision between two trains.

F1-F2
F1-R2
F2-R1

Assuming all three are equally likely then there is a 2/3 chance that if there is a collision, it will be the front of your train that is hit. If we regard the head on crash as less likely as most routes are not single line working, then the chance moves nearer to 1/2 but always remain higher than that as long as the possibility of a head on exists.

Add to that the possibility of a collision with something else on the track, and the chance of a frontal impact increases rather than reduces.

So, if you can't sit in the middle, prefer the back to the front.

(Bound to be something wrong with that reasoning, I always cock up probability questions).

Being on a train may well be safer than staying at home, so it's largely immatteral, as my grandfather used to say.
 Messages Author Date
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Manatee 9 Feb 16 17:07
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Dutchie 9 Feb 16 17:28
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Armel Coussine 9 Feb 16 17:50
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Bromptonaut 9 Feb 16 18:33
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Zero 9 Feb 16 18:56
 Serious rail crash in Germany  zippy 9 Feb 16 19:30
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Cliff Pope 10 Feb 16 08:37
 Serious rail crash in Germany  tyrednemotional 10 Feb 16 09:03
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Cliff Pope 10 Feb 16 09:28
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Zero 10 Feb 16 09:27
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Zero 10 Feb 16 09:32
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Alanovich 10 Feb 16 10:04
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Roger. 10 Feb 16 10:07
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Alanovich 10 Feb 16 10:13
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Cliff Pope 10 Feb 16 13:06
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Manatee 10 Feb 16 10:37
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Alanovich 10 Feb 16 10:41
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Manatee 10 Feb 16 10:56
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Zero 10 Feb 16 11:03
 Serious rail crash in Germany  CGNorwich 10 Feb 16 11:15
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Manatee 10 Feb 16 11:21
 Serious rail crash in Germany  CGNorwich 10 Feb 16 11:50
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Zero 10 Feb 16 11:55
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Alanovich 10 Feb 16 11:57
 Serious rail crash in Germany  CGNorwich 10 Feb 16 12:00
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Manatee 10 Feb 16 12:05
 Serious rail crash in Germany  big bird 10 Feb 16 14:18
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Westpig 10 Feb 16 15:33
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Zero 10 Feb 16 16:03
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Duncan 10 Feb 16 16:28
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Zero 10 Feb 16 17:12
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Focusless 10 Feb 16 19:40
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Bromptonaut 10 Feb 16 21:19
 Serious rail crash in Germany  henry k 16 Feb 16 13:58
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Armel Coussine 16 Feb 16 14:03
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Zero 16 Feb 16 16:51
 Serious rail crash in Germany  CGNorwich 16 Feb 16 18:35
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Zero 16 Feb 16 19:24
 Serious rail crash in Germany  CGNorwich 16 Feb 16 19:40
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Ted 16 Feb 16 22:28
 Serious rail crash in Germany  CGNorwich 16 Feb 16 23:38
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Ted 16 Feb 16 23:53
 Serious rail crash in Germany  CGNorwich 17 Feb 16 00:31
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Crankcase 17 Feb 16 08:06
 Serious rail crash in Germany  WillDeBeest 17 Feb 16 09:32
 Serious rail crash in Germany  Zero 12 Apr 16 21:41
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