Non-motoring > Brexit Discussion - Volume 89   [Read only]
Thread Author: VxFan	Replies: 151

Wed 11 Mar 20 09:08   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - VxFan

***** This thread is now closed, please CLICK HERE to go to Volume 90 ***** ============================================================== IMPORTANT - PLEASE READ Before discussions start in this thread, I would like to point out that any petty arguments, personal attacks, or any other infringement of house rules, etc. will be deleted where we feel fit from now on. We will not give notice that we have deleted something. Nor will we enter into discussion why something was deleted. That will also be deleted. It seems that discussion about Brexit brings out the worst in some people. Be nice, Play nice, and control your temper. Your co-operation would be appreciated. Last edited by: VxFan on Fri 11 Dec 20 at 10:49

Fri 21 Feb 20 12:49   Google and data - Crankcase

When I was still working, so a couple of years ago now, we were all very exercised about GDPR, the US "safe harbor" equivalent, and personal data storage and security. As I'm sure you've all had, I got an email from Google today saying that they are moving the data, effectively, from Ireland to the US, because the UK is now not in the EU. What do we think this means in the real world? Data sold against my will? Data theft with no realistic comeback from the UK? Nothing different whatsover? If I were to elect to get rid of all that is Google, I'd be a bit hamstrung in terms of phones, internets and all of the online world in general I think. Last edited by: Crankcase on Fri 21 Feb 20 at 12:50

Fri 21 Feb 20 13:33   Google and data - Zero

>> What do we think this means in the real world? Data sold against my will? yup >> Data theft with no realistic comeback from the UK? Is a risk under any jurisdiction

Tue 10 Mar 20 13:01   Brexit Discussion - Ambo

DT’s Peter Foster, in today’s online Brexit Bulletin, highlights three main areas in which a Canada-style deal goes against expert pleas. The NHS wants government to maintain links with the EU’s pandemic early warning system. The aviation industry wants to remain part of the EU air safety agency, EASA. The haulage industry wants to keep to the EU’s “safety and security” declaration system, because of the massive red tape burden that would otherwise ensue. It estimates that 220 million declarations will be involved, at £15 each. (That seems to be in addition to the same number of customs declarations.) So far, the answer has been “No”. There is little or no explanation of what replacements are proposed and how they will work.

Tue 10 Mar 20 13:49   Brexit Discussion - Bromptonaut

>> DT’s Peter Foster, in today’s online Brexit Bulletin, highlights three main areas in which a >> Canada-style deal goes against expert pleas. HAs the DT finally seen the light of day?

Wed 11 Mar 20 08:17   Brexit Discussion - Ambo

>>HAs the DT finally seen the light of day? Actually, Foster is often sharply critical of our Brussels negotiations.

Tue 10 Mar 20 13:50   Brexit Discussion - No FM2R

Do they not understand that we are taking back control and insist on our right to spend our money and risk our lives?

Tue 10 Mar 20 13:53   Brexit Discussion - No FM2R

>>The aviation industry wants to remain part of the EU air safety agency, EASA. You do not need to be a member of the EU to be a member of EASA. But no doubt we all remember Teresa May's desperate attempt to be seen as worthwhile when she retrospectively included ECJ jurisdiction into the EU Referendum. Since the average plank has no idea what that means, they just include it in their bleating. Last edited by: No FM2R on Tue 10 Mar 20 at 13:53

Wed 17 Jun 20 08:32   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/cptpp-trade-united-kingdom-nafta-1.5614470?cmp=rss I can't say I've heard much about this trading partnership, nevertheless I found it quite interesting. Seems to not have been covered in the UK press.

Wed 17 Jun 20 08:47   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Duncan

Ah! Brexit! By Jove, I have missed all this.

Wed 17 Jun 20 12:28   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - CGNorwich

If you're missing the full Brexit experience i you can relive it all via the BBC Brexitcast podcast. All 267 episodes are available on line :-) It still going strong although it has now morphed into the Coronavirus Broadcast

Wed 17 Jun 20 13:35   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Terry

It was always clear that getting out of the EU was the easy bit; the hard bit would be getting the agreements in place to make it work. EU through Barnier still seem determined to push for their preferred solution and do not really understand that for the UK, leave means leave and independence from EU control. Irrespective of personal views on the wisdom of Brexit, we will never disentangle the wisdom of leaving from the impacts of CV-19. Brexiteers will insist that all economic problems stem from CV-19, Remainers will assert the situation was made far worse through having left and been intransigent about extending the negotiation process. Boris now has a lot of cast iron excuses if (more likely when) negotiations fail.

Thu 10 Sep 20 20:05   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - CGNorwich

Well the negotiations are going swimmingly well aren’t they? Any chance of a deal with the EU now seems distinctly unlikely seeing their reaction to the UK reneging on the terms of the Withdrawal Agreement and now Pelosi is making it clear that there will be no trade deal with the US if we endanger the Peace Agreement. Weren’t we told this was all going to be a piece of cake? www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/09/10/politics/nancy-pelosi-brexit-congress-uk-gbr-intl/index.html       1

Thu 10 Sep 20 21:03   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - zippy

It's shameful. You do not sign an agreement then break it. Who will trust you in the future? You can re-negotiate and that should be done in good faith. What is being done at the moment is as far from good faith as you can get. These oafish leaders of ours are insisting we abide by our own laws yet happily going around breaking others. Absolute two faced piles of excrement.

Thu 10 Sep 20 22:44   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - bathtub tom

>> These oafish leaders of ours are insisting we abide by our own laws yet happily >> going around breaking others. Absolute two faced piles of excrement. Since when have the French followed the rules? They've always seemed to do whatever suits them best, however, I feel the hand of Cummings behind this. I reckon Boris has had his day and it's time for a change. Thank the gods he was there at the start, the alternative didn't bear thinking about.

Thu 10 Sep 20 23:04   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - zippy

>> Since when have the French followed the rules? They've always seemed to do whatever suits >> them best They may bend the rules or ignore them to suit. They have not, to my knowledge broken a treaty in recent times.

Fri 11 Sep 20 00:24   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

>>They may bend the rules or ignore them to suit. They have not, to my knowledge broken a treaty in recent times. "bend", "ignore" but not "broken". Excellent use of pedantry as a statement. And exactly the sort of sentiment which caused us to lose control of our EU membership in the first place.

Fri 11 Sep 20 00:36   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - zippy

Like we haven't bent the rules to our advantage either. Last edited by: VxFan on Fri 11 Sep 20 at 03:01

Fri 11 Sep 20 00:50   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

>>Like we haven't bent the rules to our advantage either. That was not your point. Or mine indeed.

Fri 11 Sep 20 00:22   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

I'm not sat in the negotiation meetings, unlike the the staff of the Daily Mail it seems. However, things get said and threatened in negotiation meetings. That's why they're called negotiation meetings. If by threatening to do this, a better result is achieved, that works for me. And one should never blink first. Nor let the spinless and sensationalist media blink for you. Nor their readers. None of whom are actually in the conversations but talk as if they were.

Fri 11 Sep 20 09:10   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - CGNorwich

It’s not really about what is said and threatened in a meeting though is it? It’s seems to me to be about whether it’s OK to renege on an agreement that has been signed and sealed because you know that it now stands in the way of what you want to achieve. Whether the tactic will work is debateable and it seems to set dangerous precedent. Other countries will surely be less trusting of the U.K. in future treaty negotiations. , Last edited by: CGNorwich on Fri 11 Sep 20 at 09:11

Fri 11 Sep 20 10:37   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Bromptonaut

>> It’s not really about what is said and threatened in a meeting though is it? Exactly that. We're beyond the stage of what's said within the protocols of negotiation. The UK has publicly signalled intent to renege on a treaty it entered into less than a year ago. Further, it has backed up that statement by laying a Bill before Parliament to give it explicit power to do so. The legislation is phrased in a way that looks like an attempt to oust legal challenges. The agreement Johnson and the Teasoch made to solve the 'Irish Backstop' conundrum was obviously going to create problems between NI and GB/rest of UK. It was also evident those problems would attract the ire of Unionists. Either he wasn't on the detail at the time or he always intended to play fast/loose. I suspect the former but cannot rule out the latter. It's also evident from the statements of people like Steve Baker and Bernard Jenkin suggesting we resile from the whole of the Withdrawal Agreement that the Conservative party has not ended its civil war over Europe. Last edited by: Bromptonaut on Fri 11 Sep 20 at 10:38

Fri 11 Sep 20 11:00   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Manatee

>> It's also evident from the statements of people like Steve Baker and Bernard Jenkin suggesting >> we resile from the whole of the Withdrawal Agreement that the Conservative party has not >> ended its civil war over Europe. Resiling is something you can do when you have a right to do it. They would have to repudiate it. Renege is another word. The usually shifty Brandon Lewis brazenly said in an obviously prepared statement that the Government was proposing to breach international law. How then can the Attorney General and the Solicitor General let this go. They should stop it or resign, and the people who thought this up and went ahead with it along with them. I don't care if it is a negotiating tactic - if it is, it's a bad one that will undermine credibility for years to come. In a way of course it was inevitable as they had painted themselves into a corner but if the agreement already made needs to be changed then it should be done legally. Last edited by: VxFan on Wed 20 Jan 21 at 10:49

Fri 11 Sep 20 11:21   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

In a way of course it was inevitable as they had painted themselves into a >> corner but if the agreement already made needs to be changed then it should be >> done legally. From bits I've read that's what the government believes it's doing, the treaty has no standing until there's an act of Parliament. Mention of the Miller case against the government was brought up by them as way of example of the primacy of Parliament and as case law. Which is a little ironic. How accurate their argument is, I don't know.

Fri 11 Sep 20 11:34   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Bromptonaut

>> Resiling is something you can do when you have a right to do it. They >> would have to repudiate it. Renege is another word. You're quite right. Repudiate was the word I was looking for and I think used by either or both of Baker and Jenkin but it wouldn't come to me at the time.

Fri 11 Sep 20 12:09   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

>> The usually shifty Brandon Lewis brazenly said in an obviously prepared statement that the Government >> was proposing to breach international law. How then can the Attorney General and the Solicitor >> General let this go. They should stop it or resign, and the people who thought >> this up and went ahead with it along with them. "International Law" Thats a very strong sounding phrase being thrown around. In fact it really means rugger all. It was an agreement between Europe and the UK, it has no legal standing in the rest of the world only in the EU court, that court being one of the things we are refusing to be part of going forwards, one that will have no legal standing or primacy over parliament in the UK if we bounce out with no agreement, makes it inevitable that the agreement, and its "legal breech" is of no consequence. The EU can huff and puff, but they cant impose trading sanctions without severely impinging on their own finances, crippled by covid support finances to boot. japan does not seem care, we have just signed an agreement with them. In short its a big stick being wielded. An assault charge wont mean much if its used. I think the best thing to do is if we seeded NI to Europe, and let them deal with it. Its of no use to us, in fact its a PITA. Last edited by: Zero on Fri 11 Sep 20 at 12:11

Fri 11 Sep 20 12:23   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - CGNorwich

I think the best thing to do is if we seeded NI... Cheaper than turfing it I suppose.

Fri 11 Sep 20 12:59   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Manatee

>> "International Law" Thats a very strong sounding phrase being thrown around. In fact it really >> means rugger all. It was an agreement between Europe and the UK, it has no >> legal standing in the rest of the world only in the EU court, that court >> being one of the things we are refusing to be part of going forwards, one >> that will have no legal standing or primacy over parliament in the UK if we >> bounce out with no agreement, makes it inevitable that the agreement, and its "legal breech" Quote "Yes this does break international law..." Brandon Lewis, Justice Minister.

Fri 11 Sep 20 13:44   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

Maybe, but it does nothing to cover the points that "international law" in this example merely means "an agreement" Last edited by: VxFan on Sun 13 Sep 20 at 20:48

Fri 11 Sep 20 14:21   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Manatee

I was just making the point that it wasn't just "thrown around" by critics. It was used in a parliamentary answer by a minister speaking on behalf of the government. Splitting hairs doesn't make it OK with me.

Fri 11 Sep 20 14:32   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Bromptonaut

>> Maybe, but it does nothing to cover the points that "international law" in this example >> merely means "an agreement" There are protocols about how states are expected to behave after entering into agreements that are supposed to be solemn and binding. Here's some lawyers chat on the pont: www.lawgazette.co.uk/law/undergraduate-tosh-government-outlines-legal-position-on-brexit-bill/5105607.article?

Fri 11 Sep 20 14:49   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

But there is no "international law" in the global sense, its an agreement between nations, that any nation can tear up. Many nations do, there is no enforcement or legal comeback other than a refusal to deal with that nation again. Last edited by: VxFan on Sun 13 Sep 20 at 20:48

Fri 11 Sep 20 15:02   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

or you can go to war of course.

Fri 11 Sep 20 15:16   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Manatee

>> But there is no "international law" in the global sense, its an agreement between nations, >> that any nation can tear up. Many nations do, there is no enforcement or legal >> comeback other than a refusal to deal with that nation again. Maybe somebody should tell the Justice Secretary. I don't have the credentials to argue it. There's the ICJ I suppose, and other contextual treaty arrangements such as WTO. Perhaps it is obfuscation like this that the government thinks it can rely on but it still seems to me like saying you had your fingers crossed when you signed it so it doesn't count. It seems to be dividing the Conservatives somewhat. Looks as if Johnson might have to eject a few more rebels.

Fri 11 Sep 20 15:25   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

The irony is of course, if we hadnt signed the withdrawal agreement - we would have fallen out of the EU anyway. Now Gov is threatening to fall out of the EU, we cant "legally" Fantastic planning.

Fri 11 Sep 20 18:15   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Bromptonaut

>> But there is no "international law" in the global sense, its an agreement between nations, >> that any nation can tear up. Many nations do, there is no enforcement or legal >> comeback other than a refusal to deal with that nation again. www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/sep/11/brexit-override-plan-would-breach-vienna-convention-qc-says

Fri 11 Sep 20 19:20   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Manatee

>> www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/sep/11/brexit-override-plan-would-breach-vienna-convention-qc-says Reading that, it seems the government knew where to shop for their advice. I'm familiar with the Viennetta Convention (he who divides the Viennetta into the appropriate number of pieces gets the last pick).

Fri 11 Sep 20 19:31   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

>> >> But there is no "international law" in the global sense, its an agreement between >> nations, >> >> that any nation can tear up. Many nations do, there is no enforcement or >> legal >> >> comeback other than a refusal to deal with that nation again. >> >> www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/sep/11/brexit-override-plan-would-breach-vienna-convention-qc-says he also referenced the Vienna convention, saying article 60 states that a “material breach of a bilateral treaty entitles the other party to invoke that breach as a ground for terminating or suspending the operation of the treaty ‘in whole or in part’”. Like wow, does that mean the withdrawal agreement that expires at the end of the year would be terminated? The UK is not going to accept the european court having any jurisdiction in anything pertaining to the UK going forward. This "law break" is not worth the newsprint its printed on.

Fri 11 Sep 20 19:37   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Manatee

If the UK does materially breach the Agreement then they may well be able legitimately to rescind it, so in theory UK would be left without cover. Doesn't matter whether the UK accepts it or not, the EU's obligations under it will cease anyway. Dunning Kruger in action.

Fri 11 Sep 20 19:42   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

>> If the UK does materially breach the Agreement then they may well be able legitimately >> to rescind it, so in theory UK would be left without cover. Doesn't matter whether >> the UK accepts it or not, the EU's obligations under it will cease anyway. >> >> Dunning Kruger in action. >> And throw Ireland under the bus? That'd be a rather interesting choice of action.

Fri 11 Sep 20 19:51   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Manatee

>>And throw Ireland under the bus? That'd be a rather interesting choice of action. Who knows? It would be out of UK control wouldn't it. Do you actually think the government is either trustworthy or competent?

Fri 11 Sep 20 19:57   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

It would be yes, be rather a turnaround to leave Ireland in the lurch after all the shoulder to shoulder talk. I'd say it's extremely unlikely, main reason being the effect it would have on an EU member. Last edited by: VxFan on Sun 13 Sep 20 at 20:49

Fri 11 Sep 20 19:59   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

Northern Ireland has been open sore and a millstone round our neck for near on 60 years. As far as Eire goes we have no responsibility towards them, they are european law breakers and leeches - - they can go whistle. Last edited by: Zero on Fri 11 Sep 20 at 20:00

Fri 11 Sep 20 19:56   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

>> If the UK does materially breach the Agreement then they may well be able legitimately >> to rescind it, so in theory UK would be left without cover. Doesn't matter whether >> the UK accepts it or not, the EU's obligations under it will cease anyway. Cover for what? if we dont agree a new deal for year end we leave the EU with nothing anyway.

Fri 11 Sep 20 20:10   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - tyrednemotional

>> Like wow, does that mean the withdrawal agreement that expires at the end of the >> year would be terminated? I'm not sure where that interpretation came from. The transition period (as currently agreed in line with the withdrawal agreement) certainly expires at the end of the year, but the provisions of the withdrawal agreement live on (unless varied by mutual agreement) in perpetuity (and as I understand it, largely overseen by the European Courts). There are dates/responsibilities embedded in the withdrawal agreement long beyond the end of the transition period. And, if you think the agreement expires at the end of the transition period, why would the UK Government choose to take this approach now, when it could simply state that they could do what they plan, quite legally, by simply running the clock down?

Fri 11 Sep 20 23:05   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

Yes but the only source of redress, reparation or punishment for breaching the agreement is via any trade negotiated during the transition period. The European court or the Eu has no mechanism to do that via WTO rules. Last edited by: VxFan on Sun 13 Sep 20 at 20:49

Sat 12 Sep 20 06:48   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Manatee

"He [Johnson] said “in the last few weeks” he learned his negotiators had discovered there “may be a serious misunderstanding about the terms” of the withdrawal agreement he signed in October." Seriously? Now a self-confessed idiot. www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/sep/11/brussels-could-carve-up-uk-if-tories-reject-brexit-bill-says-johnson?CMP=share_btn_fb

Sat 12 Sep 20 08:59   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - CGNorwich

It’s pretty obviously he signed the agreement in bad faith simply to get the job done and knowing he would latter renege on the agreement. Who would trust him in future agreements?

Sat 12 Sep 20 09:37   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

>> It’s pretty obviously he signed the agreement in bad faith simply to get the job >> done and knowing he would latter renege on the agreement. >> >> Who would trust him in future agreements? >> Japan?

Sat 12 Sep 20 09:22   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - tyrednemotional

The practicalities of gaining redress is a rather different matter to whether or not the Withdrawal Agreement expires or not at the end of the year (currently, without bilateral agreement, it doesn't). WTO is a non sequitur (until and unless the EU decides that non-compliance with the Withdrawal Agreement constitutes a valid trade dispute - there are arguments, given that Customs arrangements for future trading are one of the now contentious items, that this is the case.) If we have fallen back to WTO arrangements, it could then decide to unilaterally (or in combination with other WTO members it can persuade) to apply specific UK-targeted WTO-based remedies, including specific sanctions/tariffs, etc. The more immediate point is that the Withdrawal Bill does not expire at the end of the year; it has certain remedies, provisions and processes that may be used in the event of non-compliance. These remedies will still legally be in force. As the agreement is seen as a treaty under the Vienna Convention (which appears to be rather forthright about unilateral repudiation being illegal under International law), ultimate potential oversight would be via that route, which includes the intervention of the ICJ. But, I doubt it will ever get there; whatever the legal position, the more worrying fact is the lack of integrity and good faith being demonstrated by the UK Government. You couldn't have much worse international "optics" than a legislature negotiating an agreement, hailing it as a major breakthrough, and then, before the ink is dry announcing it has no intention whatsoever of keeping to it as it had its fingers crossed when it was signed (and the people it was intended to mollify confirming that they'd been told at the time it would be changed). It's sub-Banana Republic behaviour. It has nothing to do with negotiation (if it had, it would initially at least have been played out in "darkened rooms"), it is simply playing to the gallery. Last edited by: tyrednemotional on Sat 12 Sep 20 at 09:23       1

Fri 11 Sep 20 09:36   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

I believe she's the leader of Congress, however I think it's the senate that ratify trade deals. Last edited by: VxFan on Sun 13 Sep 20 at 20:49

Fri 11 Sep 20 09:43   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Duncan

I can't tell you how pleased I am that the Brexit discussions have started again.

Fri 11 Sep 20 10:14   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Ambo

It seems extraordinarily crass to start this at such a tense moment in the Brexit negotiations and to hand the EU a rod for our back. I am surprised Macron has not trotted out the routine "Perfide Albion" charge (not that Marianne herself has not frequently proved perfidious).

Fri 11 Sep 20 11:56   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Terry

This was inevitable - Boris would have signed the back of a bog roll to ensure he "got Brexit done". The opposition to Brexit are equally complicit in that had they cooperated effectively they may have stopped Brexit - but politics got in the way. It has all the hallmarks of a Cummings initiative - he is a happy mould breaker and no doubt regards this as nothing more than lobbing a grenade into the negotiating process to see what happens. Personally I expect a climb down in the next couple of weeks, or some more ambiguous words, on the basis that "we have now won significant concessions and have an agreement with the EU" so it is no longer an issue.

Fri 11 Sep 20 12:32   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - martin aston

Having spent most of my working life in negotiations I take both sides statement with a pinch of salt. There is a lot of public grandstanding going on that may or may not reflect the real position of both sides. The earlier May negotiations were poor but were also bedevilled by too much analysis by onlookers. If we have played a dummy with this proposed treaty change and it lets both sides negotiate on the real issues then so much the better. I think it’s significant that the EU has given us three weeks to think again but hasn’t withdrawn from the talks. Maybe it will drift away, maybe we will trade it for a concession. Who knows... but it gives the press something to gnaw on meantime. I have to trust that we now have better negotiators in place than the hapless politicians who pretend to be in charge. And I don’t mean Cummings. Time will tell.

Fri 11 Sep 20 15:06   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - devonite

Cheeky of the USA to stick their spout in! - berating us for breaking a treaty, saying we couldn't be trusted, - who the heck signed the Kyoto agreement then kicked it into touch when it suited them? Hypocrites!

Fri 11 Sep 20 16:14   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Bromptonaut

>> Cheeky of the USA to stick their spout in! - berating us for breaking a >> treaty, saying we couldn't be trusted, - who the heck signed the Kyoto agreement then >> kicked it into touch when it suited them? The driving force with Kyoto being ditched was Trump. SFAIK it's Democrats or possibly the odd anti Trump Republican who are carping at us.

Sat 12 Sep 20 01:03   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - CGNorwich

“The driving force with Kyoto being ditched was Trump. “ I think you will find it was George W Bush who reversed the USA ‘s stance on Kyoto

Sat 12 Sep 20 03:27   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

Trump withdrew from the Paris Agreement, which was effectively the replacement for the Kyoto Protocol. The US simple did not continue with the Kyoto Protocol, there was no withdrawal required. But it was, in any case, long before Trump's day in the sun. Last edited by: No FM2R on Sat 12 Sep 20 at 03:27

Fri 11 Sep 20 17:26   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - CGNorwich

Although perhaps regrettable its not comparable. The USA signed the Kyoto Protocol but it was never ratified by them and without ratification it was not legally binding.

Fri 11 Sep 20 20:44   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Lygonos

In the medium-to-long term will the City of London remain the dominant financial centre in Europe if we "do a WTO"?

Fri 11 Sep 20 21:12   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

The City of London thinks it will. The City of Frankfurt thinks it wont.

Thu 24 Sep 20 03:20   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

A quote from the BBC about transport... "Industry sources have raised the possibility that the UK would have to sign up to EU rules limiting driver hours, in order to get access to EU roads." Ha ha ha ha ha ha. That's showing them how to take back to control.

Thu 24 Sep 20 05:58   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Duncan

>> A quote from the BBC about transport... >> >> "Industry sources have raised the possibility that the UK would have to sign up to >> EU rules limiting driver hours, in order to get access to EU roads." >> >> Ha ha ha ha ha ha. That's showing them how to take back to control. >> And if, in turn, the UK insists that the EU would have to sign up to UK rules limiting whatever we choose, in order to get access to UK roads?

Thu 24 Sep 20 09:42   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

At least there will be less Irish trucks shipping dead asylum seekers around our roads.

Thu 24 Sep 20 14:48   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Bromptonaut

>> At least there will be less Irish trucks shipping dead asylum seekers around our roads. I thought they were bound for the 'black economy'. Promised good jobs but will end up in nail bars, tending cannabis farms or, if they're nice looking, with a Pimp to look after them. Still, at least they'll be in British lorries next time....

Thu 24 Sep 20 16:56   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

>> Still, at least they'll be in British lorries next time.... With the French doing customs checks on UK lorries? Highly unlikely

Thu 24 Sep 20 16:39   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - zippy

>>At least there will be less Irish trucks shipping dead asylum seekers around our roads. No? The Immigration and Border Force will set up our own drivers to do it under new legislation that actually allows them to: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-54274605 Last edited by: zippy on Thu 24 Sep 20 at 16:39

Thu 24 Sep 20 17:02   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

I think they would stop short of killing them Last edited by: VxFan on Fri 25 Sep 20 at 12:49

Thu 24 Sep 20 16:41   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - PeterS

>> At least there will be less Irish trucks shipping dead asylum seekers around our roads. >> >> I’ll miss being tailgated by them in the 50 limits. Fasted trucks on the road :p And I don’t think it’s me...I set the cruise to 57 in them

Thu 24 Sep 20 14:39   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - CGNorwich

Would you feel safer on the roads if the working hours of lorry drivers were to be extended in order to increase the profitability of haulage companies?

Thu 24 Sep 20 17:37   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

>>And if, in turn, the UK insists that the EU would have to sign up to UK rules limiting whatever we choose, in order to get access to UK roads? Well now, why would that happen? Because I thought we were upset that EU rules were restrictive and we wanted less restriction in the UK? So why would a foreign driver here have to sign up to lesser rules? What are you thinking, that drivers from the mainland will have to sign an agreement promising not to follow strict EU rules? Or are you thinking that our problem with the EU was that we wanted *more* restrictions and they wouldn't let us have them? Last edited by: No FM2R on Thu 24 Sep 20 at 17:38

Thu 24 Sep 20 17:52   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Bromptonaut

>> What are you thinking, that drivers from the mainland will have to sign an agreement >> promising not to follow strict EU rules? I think the suggestion was more along the lines of some other 'quid pro quo' rather than playing about over driver regulation. The issue then is UK's bargaining power. As we've already found that's pretty lightweight, the idea that they need us more than we need them (eg our strength as a market for BMW) is a word that rhymes with where the oars are clipped.

Thu 24 Sep 20 18:10   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

>>The issue then is UK's bargaining power. As we've already found that's pretty lightweight, I think you're being generous with "lightweight".       1

Thu 24 Sep 20 18:13   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

I think zero's point of fewer Irish trucks, is more to the point about accesss. How important is the UK as a bridge to Ireland and by extension to the EU? They've tied themselves to each other political throughout the process, not that there's anything wrong with that. But it does make you wonder, what price access, which is the lesser evil? Ireland is about to become a much larger financial contributor to the EU, I wonder what, if any, extra clout this gives them? Would /could they be thrown under the proverbial bus? Last edited by: VxFan on Fri 25 Sep 20 at 12:50

Thu 24 Sep 20 18:23   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

We should ignore the rabid racists and the xenophobic idiots and agree everything which makes commercial sense. Freedom of movement, common market, common standards, etc. etc. and just keep away from anything without a commercial benefit. Fisheries we can sort out simply by stopping UK fishing enterprises from selling their quotas to foreign companies. Because it will happen one way or another. At least if the Government does it the country retains some control. If individual businesses and industries come up with the solutions, then the country has no involvement or control. The problem is that I haven't heard a single sensible argument against any of those things and so it's difficult to combat. The objections are all based on some apocryphal idea of what a British Empire could be, and it can't/won't ever be.

Thu 24 Sep 20 18:31   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

>> We should ignore the rabid racists and the xenophobic idiots and agree everything which makes >> commercial sense. Freedom of movement, common market, common standards, etc. etc. and just keep away >> from anything without a commercial benefit. >> From reading up on the negotiations, especially when there's no big news story, around 80% has been agreed. So there's more than bare bones of an agreement.

Thu 24 Sep 20 18:40   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

I hope so. Just so we don't expect it to receive the support of the tabloids with their target market awareness.

Thu 24 Sep 20 17:57   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

I seem to recall that EU laws on driver hours was a UK driven initiative.

Thu 24 Sep 20 17:59   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Bromptonaut

>> I seem to recall that EU laws on driver hours was a UK driven initiative. So was free movement IIRC? Wasn't it one of Maggie T's objectives?

Fri 25 Sep 20 01:45   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

And there was me thinking that adopting WTO terms would easily replace the EU with no stress or problem. www.bbc.com/news/business-54287283 Goodness knows what made me think that. As some form of self-comfort I think I shall enjoy dancing on the grave of the Brexit movement over the next few months as one thing after another goes wrong. Though, to be clear, I 100% believe that Brexit should go ahead as voted for as quickly as possible. Nothing should be put in it's way. It's just a stupid thing to do. But sneering at that stupidity comforts me. Last edited by: No FM2R on Fri 25 Sep 20 at 01:46

Fri 25 Sep 20 13:43   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Terry

I too think Brexit is an action of profound stupidity, and that the Great British Public were conned by half truths, over-simplifications, lies and abuse of parliamentary process. However the vote happened. Incompetence of Remainer politicians who may have forced a different outcome had they united in opposition, allowed the withdrawal agreement to be signed. The reality is beginning to become apparent: - Boris wants to change the agreement he signed less than a year ago - a trade agreement with the EU is not (and never was!) the promised "easiest deal ever" - Kent may be turned into a carpark - multiple trade deals with other countries have yet to become close to a reality However the BBC is skewing reporting. Tariffs on imports are a UK decision and not determined by WTO - if Boris want to reduce tariffs on imports to zero he can do so!

Fri 25 Sep 20 13:55   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Manatee

Brexit has been hijacked, 52/48 is not a mandate for an extreme separation (actually it's not a mandate for anything). There was much talk at the time of the possibility of emulating Norway, Switzerland etc as examples of non-member countries with close ties. All of that has gone out of the window. It would have been possible to satisfy the Leave voters on the sovereignty/federal Europe concerns without turning it into a catastrophe for the British people who have bluntly been betrayed.

Fri 25 Sep 20 14:23   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

Well now, that's not quite true. Only the tabloids and their followers got their knickers in a knot about the ECJ, for example. An absolute insistence that we won't have anything to do with them. Unlike Switzerland, Norway, etc etc

Sat 26 Sep 20 02:37   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

Coincidentally after you mentioned Switzerland I happened to read this just now.... Switzerland gets ready to vote on ending free movement with EU www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54269138

Sun 27 Sep 20 16:47   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

62/38 in favour of keeping the agreement. I'm not sure that is a "firm rejection" but it is at least a decision for the sensible side. Interestingly, or perhaps predictably, it was apparently the immigration scaremongers that were trying to drive the vote through and they insist that they will not give up. In the context that Switzerland has falling immigration that seems to make little sense. www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54316316

Sun 27 Sep 20 17:26   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Terry

By comparison to 52:48 it is positively overwhelming, not just "firm".

Sun 27 Sep 20 17:34   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

>> 62/38 in favour of keeping the agreement. >> >> I'm not sure that is a "firm rejection" 62/38 in a referendum is about as firm as you'll get!

Sat 10 Oct 20 15:01   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Dog

www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/10/09/nigel-farage-involved-talks-bid-buy-talk-radio-15m/ :o}

Sat 10 Oct 20 15:25   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Bromptonaut

Is radio still subject to a 'balance' requirement?

Sat 10 Oct 20 16:02   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

>> Is radio still subject to a 'balance' requirement? Oh yes. www.ofcom.org.uk/manage-your-licence/radio-broadcast-licensing/apply-for-a-radio-broadcast-licence Go to that link and look for this pdf at the bottom of the page. Compliance checklist for radio broadcast content (PDF, 161.0 KB) Last edited by: No FM2R on Sat 10 Oct 20 at 16:03

Sat 10 Oct 20 17:27   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - zippy

>> www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/10/09/nigel-farage-involved-talks-bid-buy-talk-radio-15m/ >> >> :o} >> That will be a radio station with one self opinionated host and potentially himself as the one self opinionated listener. At least the satisfaction index will be 100%.

Sat 10 Oct 20 17:52   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

Assuming that he intends it to be sponsored/advertising funded, then he's on for a big shot when he discovers that the requirements for getting on the front page of the Mirror and those for interesting commercially minded sponsor worried about their image are quite different.

Sat 10 Oct 20 19:28   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

I came across this story from a couple of weeks ago, the stats that jumped out at me; 'Some 150,000 Irish lorries use the land bridge every year. About 40 per cent of Irish exports and 13 per cent of imports, in value and volume terms, pass over the key transit route every year. More than 80 per cent of one million “roll-on, roll-off” lorries using Irish ports every year go through UK ports, with the remainder going on direct routes to continental Europe.' This isn't something I've seen a great deal of discussion about in the press.

Sat 10 Oct 20 19:51   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/brexit-irish-hauliers-seek-state-help-to-bypass-uk-land-bridge-1.4359886 Be helpful if I added the link! Last edited by: sooty123 on Sat 10 Oct 20 at 19:53

Fri 16 Oct 20 16:48   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

Trade talks with the EU are 'over', says No 10 www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-54566897 I'm all for not blinking first, but this is getting close. I think the EU will back down to a degree on some things, but whether or not it will be enough, who knows?

Fri 16 Oct 20 17:10   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

I think there is a still hope to get a deal done. My thought is it's a counter to Macron's hard-line the other day due more to internal politics than the brexit itself. I expect they'll be plenty more backwards and forwards yet.

Fri 16 Oct 20 17:32   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

>>I think there is a still hope to get a deal done. I think so. And it is being handled better than the media and Labour supporters would have you believe. Not great, but better. Last edited by: No FM2R on Fri 16 Oct 20 at 17:32

Fri 16 Oct 20 17:55   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

> >> I think so. And it is being handled better than the media and Labour supporters >> would have you believe. Not great, but better. >> >> >> Whether you agree with his objectives ( another matter I suppose) I thought Frost to be quietly competent. I assume you've heard on the jungle drums, am I a million miles off?

Fri 16 Oct 20 19:36   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

>>I thought Frost to be quietly competent. I don't know him directly, though I know people that do. The view seems to be that he is extremely competent, intelligent, decent and eminently capable of leading such an enterprise. That said, he is very much a function of his environment. He will driven by what the powers around him expect him to do/achieve. So one needs to understand his brief, and then I think one can assume that'll he do a thorough and competent job of working towards that. "Quietly competent" seems a fair summation.

Fri 16 Oct 20 23:13   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Terry

Impossible to know without inside knowledge whether a deal will emerge. One should - it is in neither the UK nor EU interest to fail. But politicians concerned about re-election, media comment, perceptions, etc often don't always do that which makes sense. The European Parliament magazine summed it up nicely a few days ago: “There are enough outstanding issues to facilitate the fog of compromise and the political optics of all appearing to win”

Tue 10 Nov 20 08:42   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Bobby

Watching the local news yesterday and a relatively smallish local company is setting up a factory in Netherlands to try and alleviate the issue regarding probable import and export tariffs in the event of a no deal. Can someone advise me where exactly the UK stands to benefit from Brexit? Most of the referendum selling points seem to have been debunked since then. So what’s in it for us? (Genuine question)

Tue 10 Nov 20 09:07   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - CGNorwich

Good luck with that. I’ve been asking the same question on here for years and still awaiting a coherent answer.

Tue 10 Nov 20 10:42   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Zero

Give it up, there isnt one.

Tue 10 Nov 20 11:03   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Bromptonaut

A summation here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=h93AZirB7rA&t=1551s

Tue 10 Nov 20 11:51   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - zippy

>>So what’s in it for us? (Genuine question) Gawd knows! I have spent the last 4 working days on a credit paper for a £50m turnover UK business. 90% of their turnover is in Europe. They employ 26 very well paid people and pay a nice amount of tax to the exchequer. They are in a specialised and highly regulated field. If regulatory harmony is not agreed for their industry then their business is gone over night (and that of 100s of similar companies in the same field).

Tue 10 Nov 20 11:28   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Manatee

The main growth industry will be finding ways to mitigate the effects of Brexit and reduce the damage, the revenue will end up on prices for everything including government. I imagine PWC, EY etc have already extracted many millions from it.

Tue 10 Nov 20 11:31   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - sooty123

>>, the revenue will end up on prices for everything including government. What do you mean by this?

Tue 10 Nov 20 11:51   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Manatee

Revenue = income generated by consultants for their 'services', which will increases prices of the organisations paying for them. Government spends a fortune on consultants whenever a new problem comes along which will ultimately come from taxes.

Tue 10 Nov 20 11:53   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - zippy

>> >>, the revenue will end up on prices for everything including government. >> >> What do you mean by this? >> The cost of Brexit - and all the consultants - will end up being paid for by normal people by way of increased prices (I think).

Tue 10 Nov 20 11:56   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - sooty123

Thanks. Last edited by: VxFan on Tue 10 Nov 20 at 12:13

Tue 10 Nov 20 11:53   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - No FM2R

>> I imagine PWC, EY [and other consultants] etc have already extracted many millions from it. Damn right. And loads more to come.

Tue 10 Nov 20 11:51   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - No FM2R

>>So what's in it for us? (Genuine question) The majority of people who voted for Brexit were not motivated by economic advantage, They were driven by either a fear of the EU and foreigners in general, a need for a scapegoat for their own failure or some belief that the UK could become an empire and the world would worship us and beg to trade with us. There is little point in asking them what they were after and then expecting them to put it in economic or financial terms. Or indeed any point in expecting them to be swayed by impending financial or economic disadvantage. As it was the EU that did them down before, it will be the remainers who did them down this time. Hence their deep-seated need for silly nicknames to begin their self-justification process. It's infuriating that they cannot see either the hypocrisy or the ridiculousness of their position, but we might as well get over it. They have neither the will nor the wit to change.       1

Tue 10 Nov 20 12:48   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - commerdriver

Absolutely true. It's no different to anywhere else there is a strong nationalist feeling. It's exactly the same in Scotland, there is not a single economic argument for independence. Economic argument is impossible to those who cannot be Scottish without independence.

Tue 10 Nov 20 14:31   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Lygonos

>>Economic argument is impossible to those who cannot be Scottish without independence. Of course if the City of London goes down the toilet during the next decade.....

Tue 10 Nov 20 15:04   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - sooty123

>> >>Economic argument is impossible to those who cannot be Scottish without independence. >> >> Of course if the City of London goes down the toilet during the next decade..... >> If it did happen, I don't see how that would change anything in regards to the original statement.

Tue 10 Nov 20 12:53   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Bromptonaut

>> The majority of people who voted for Brexit were not motivated by economic advantage, They >> were driven by either a fear of the EU and foreigners in general, a need >> for a scapegoat for their own failure or some belief that the UK could become >> an empire and the world would worship us and beg to trade with us. I accept the generality of that and the accuracy of the first and third cohorts. There is, I think another group; the left behind. Maybe you are including them in the 'scapegoat for own failure' set which I think is rather unfair. I'd start with the swathes of the country where former big industries like coal, steel and textiles disappeared a generation ago. There's been little in the way of true replacement by inward investment. More min wage jobs in warehouses or precarious stuff on zero hours but less in terms of skilled, secure and well remunerated employment. Other areas have fallen on hard times more recently. While some can 'get on their bikes' and move to more prosperous parts of the country others cannot whether due to Housing, lack of skills, need to care for Mam & Dad etc cannot. The Labour Government from 97 to 2010 did little for them and the subsequent austerity compounded the issue. A lot of others in various locations, even if remaining in employment have seen very little of the prosperity the 'boom years' pre 2007 brought. Stagnant wages and rising costs. The North South divide in England was and is a massive thing. For a lot of those people EU membership seemed at best an irrelevance. At worst they were susceptible to the myths of Messrs Farage etc but a lot of others saw it as an opportunity to give the establishment a kick in the balls at no cost to themselves. Cameron's Project Fear in the referendum did him no favours with this group; what relevance had the stock market etc to them? For all the present government's talk of levelling up there's precious little evidence of it happening. We risk, like America, becoming a nation divided.

Tue 10 Nov 20 13:18   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Zero

>'d start with the swathes of the country where former big industries like coal, steel and textiles >disappeared a generation ago. There's been little in the way of true replacement by inward >investment. More min wage jobs in warehouses or precarious stuff on zero hours but less in >?terms of skilled, secure and well remunerated employment. The North east for example. Nissan moved in and provided skilled jobs, skilled wages and built up a local supply chain. Despite being told the EU was vital for the success of the plant the locals replied they didnt care. and wanted out of the EU.

Tue 10 Nov 20 14:24   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - sooty123

I think he's talking about areas where that didn't happen. Ie no big companies moving in. Last edited by: VxFan on Wed 11 Nov 20 at 09:29

Tue 10 Nov 20 14:10   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - PeterS

I completely agree, we are becoming a more divided nation, and in more than one way. However those industries you refer to disappeared long ago. I’m 49, and they were dead when I started work. So they disappeared at least 2 generations ago IMO. And while all of those industries offered some for progression, a hierarchy and some well paid jobs, the majority were poorly paid, and involved working in shocking conditions with little chance of progression. I reckon, though have no numbers to support it, that there are far more ‘white collar’ jobs than there were when the mines and the mills were at full tilt. IT, services, banking, finance, legal, teaching, supply chain, marketing, sales etc etc employ millions. But the issue is fewer manual jobs and, as you say, the geographic (it’s more nuanced than North / South I think) polarisation. I’m also not sure ‘austerity’ has had a massive impact, since we’ve still been importing a lot of labour from outside the U.K. to get work done, and until covid unemployment was to all intents and purposes non existent in many parts of the country. The huge rise in services has, or at least should have filled the gap in some areas, though almost certainly not with the same skills required. But mainly where the rise in white collar jobs drives demand. It doesn’t mean no skills though, just different. As an example, a recently opened Costa drive-thru in Chichester always has a queue. So plenty of demand. That store needed planning and funding, and to be designed, built, electrically and mechanically fitted-out, supply chain, managed and staffed by people. Doe those jobs pay as well? Maybe, maybe not. But at a ‘manual labour’ level groundworks, building, fabrication, electrical, plumbing etc etc are all pretty well paid. And these things are popping up everywhere, and have done for 20 years. Even on the bottom rung the local Amazon distribution centre pays £10.70 an hour, time and a half over 40 hours and double time over 50. So money can be earned. But it’s hard work I am sure. Harder than working in a mill or a mine? Probably not... What has also changed is the certainty of employment contracts, but unless employed by the government that’s true for the whole country I’m afraid and is not a new thing. It’s existed my whole career, and I never had any expectation of a job for life. Indeed, because of that I’m in a position now where I have a choice. Tony Blair famously promised in 1995 (a generation ago...) to get rid of zero hour contracts, but failed to do so in 13 years in power. In fact, he went on to say he wanted to retain the flexibility they offered. As do businesses. But there is a better way, and that’s to use them for the truly flexible bit of labour demand, to cope with weekly/monthly/seasonal fluctuations. The large business I work with down here have to use them that way, because if employers relied on zero hours contracts only they’d not have staff when they needed them, as demand > supply (a situation that will get worse post BREXIT I’m sure, but that will then either lead to increased automation and/or higher wages). Last edited by: VxFan on Wed 11 Nov 20 at 09:30       1

Tue 10 Nov 20 15:30   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Bromptonaut

Thanks Peter for that perspective. Little there I'd disagree with though I suspect some of the retail stull like Costa Drive thru may be less prevalent away from relatively well heeled West Sussex. The North/South thing is a generalisation, there are seriously disadvantaged areas in the South East including some London boroughs and the more benighted areas of Kent, Essex etc as well as further out. Equally there are economic hotspots in the North. My department was paying more in Leeds than Bradford before I left the Civil Service in 2013. >> Even on the bottom rung the local Amazon distribution centre >> pays £10.70 an hour, time and a half over 40 hours and double time over >> 50. So money can be earned. Sure money can be earned but for context: 40hours at £10.70 is £428/week gross. Add two kids into the family, the younger is a boy at Primary School, the older in her teens. Their Mother does 25 hours as National Living Wage. Renting a 3 bed house at the 'market rate' for the Chichester area is not far off a grand a month. They'd qualify for Universal Credit of approx £750/month. As with those out of work it's housing costs in a private rental that are the killer. Last edited by: Bromptonaut on Tue 10 Nov 20 at 15:31

Tue 10 Nov 20 21:17   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - PeterS

Absolutely, it’s not a huge amount...and rent is a large proportion (though not unmanageable) but, as an entry level job, that’s £1,560 a month net, with 25 hours at £9.50 giving a further £1,000 a month net and £750 Universal Credit taking you to £3,310 a month net. That’s the equivalent of a single earner on around £52k (all assuming a 5% pensions contribution admittedly) You might have to look outside Chichester, but you could comfortable rent a nice 3 bed house in somewhere like Littlehampton or Bognor Regis for between £1,000 and £1,400... so not a million miles from what I was told when I started work which was spend a third of your salary on your house, a third on living and save a third! And that’s in the south. Now, I imagine Amazon pay less in cheaper areas...but then housing will be less as well. Armada Way, Littlehampton www.rightmove.co.uk/property-to-rent/property-86341753.html Wenban Road, BN11 www.rightmove.co.uk/property-to-rent/property-86498980.html But these jobs aren’t, on the whole, filled by people with family responsibilities. It’s mainly Eastern European migrant workers. And they’d have worked out in 2 minutes flat that you’re better off doing your 160 hours / 4 weeks in 3 53 hour weeks and then run a second job in the other week ;) Dump the second income, share that 3 bed house with two others and your rent is £3/400 a month...same proportion of total income as the family. But for whatever reason the economically disadvantaged in other parts of England don’t want / won’t move for these jobs. I don’t know about you, but a house share when starting out was the norm, and certainly still is among professionals in London and other cities, so I’m at a loss to explain how we encourage people to move to where the jobs are. You’re broadly never more mobile than when young surely? Last edited by: PeterS on Tue 10 Nov 20 at 21:18

Tue 10 Nov 20 21:40   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - sooty123

>> . But for whatever reason >> the economically disadvantaged in other parts of England don’t want / won’t move for these >> jobs. I don’t know about you, but a house share when starting out was the >> norm, and certainly still is among professionals in London and other cities, so I’m at >> a loss to explain how we encourage people to move to where the jobs are. >> You’re broadly never more mobile than when young surely? >> I think some do, but most people stick to the area they are most familiar with through good and bad. It gives people are an anchor, a grounding if you like. I think many like to feel familiar in areas that feel safe. There's a saying that most people are born, grow up and die in a 50 mile radius its probably true the world over.

Wed 11 Nov 20 10:17   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Ambo

>> But at a ‘manual labour’ level groundworks, building, fabrication, electrical, plumbing etc etc are all pretty well paid. I agree, using evidence from the score or so of cars parked in our road of men working on a building site nearby. All immaculate recent models, there are few cars but numerous prestige pickups, some with large loading platforms but with cabins with two rows of seats to boot. I feel embarrassed to show our little Hyundai i10 in public.

Wed 11 Nov 20 10:24   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - smokie

Agreed but don't forget that a lot more cars are leased these days rather than bought, so not dissimilar to the "never never". Many of my daughters' mates (30-somethings) now lease and wouldn't consider buying. So does my next door neighbour (60 something)

Wed 11 Nov 20 11:06   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Lygonos

>> so not dissimilar to the "never never" For some, but it is also a way for the manufacturers to hugely discount some cars without hitting list price. www.hotukdeals.com/deals/hyundai-ioniq-premium-383-kwh-electric-car-lease-36-months-at-ps26139-per-month-overall-3573183 9 grand for 3 yrs use - why pay 30 grand when it'll be fairly outdated in 3 yrs anyway? Last edited by: Lygonos on Wed 11 Nov 20 at 11:10

Wed 11 Nov 20 12:09   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - smokie

Yes, I wasn't saying I disagree with it but imo it's why there seem to be many more people apparently able to afford newer/more expensive cars. You are exactly right re the 3 year thing, technology is moving so fast.

Tue 10 Nov 20 20:49   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - No FM2R

>>another group; the left behind. Maybe you are including them in the 'scapegoat for own failure' set which I think is rather unfair. Not what I said, not what I meant.

Tue 10 Nov 20 20:54   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Bromptonaut

>> Not what I said, not what I meant. Fair enough. It's just that they're a group identified with both the referendum and the collapse of the red wall and I wondered if/how they featured in your analysis.

Tue 17 Nov 20 17:49   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - No FM2R

>>There is, I think another group; the left behind. Maybe you are including them in the 'scapegoat for own failure' set which I think is rather unfair. I meant to get back to this ages ago but forgot. The group I was referring to are those who refuse to accept responsibility for their own lives. They are faced with choosing between an admission that they are lazy, indolent, unreliable, anti social gits who have put no effort into their own lives or blaming their sad current state of affairs on someone or something. And then there are those that are, as you say, the left behind. Typically those that got left out when the ridiculous took over education. We suddenly moved to a world where success was only measured by academic results and failure was seen as the fault of someone else. Failure could be resolved by removing competition. Perfectly normal, perfectly valuable people who were simply not suited to classrooms, who may well have excelled elsewhere if competition was permitted and all skill were valued, were left behind. Those that championed the changes to our education approach in the 70s should hang their heads in shame. Academic results and University entrance are not only NOT the only measures of success, they are incomplete and unjust. Removing competition from schools through fear of failure brought only mediocrity. Trying to take all those previously required in heavy or manual industry and either force fit them into classroom success or hide them from sight is what caused them to be left behind. And all the political parties were and are equally to blame, as well as their supporters.

Tue 17 Nov 20 18:02   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Bromptonaut

>> And all the political parties were and are equally to blame, as well as their >> supporters. Not a lot there I'd disagree with, certainly not the differentiation of scapegoats for own failure or exactly who constitutes the left behind and why. Not sure what the seventies changes are as I'd place responsibly firmly in the nineties and the race to make University too close to the Be All and End All. Both parties to blame though. Major and Blair in the nineties and, if your reference to the seventies is Comprehensives v Grammer Schools, I'd not differ either albeit for completely opposed reasons. Last edited by: VxFan on Wed 18 Nov 20 at 11:17

Tue 17 Nov 20 18:08   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - No FM2R

Other than that I should have said "from the 70s forward" we're close enough to agreement that we should probably leave it there. Cheers.       1

Tue 10 Nov 20 12:18   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - sherlock47

What’s in it for us? Education, education, education! If I had not explored the Boris world of 3 word slogans I would have been severely lexicographically handicapped. I would never have come across the following gem... Epizeuxis is a rhetorical term for the repetition of a word or phrase for emphasis, usually with no words in between. It is pronounced ep-uh-ZOOX-sis. It is also known as: cuckowspell, doublet, geminatio, underlay, and palilogia. Who has spotted the deliberate mistake?

Tue 10 Nov 20 15:35   Brexit Discussion - What’s in it for us? - Terry

Brexit is continally seen as an economic argument, possibly because it is easy to quantify economic substance. Most of the recent posts show this. We tend to relegate the emotive to a very second place - issues about sovereignty, control, freedom are difficult to evaluate but nonetheless very real. They can be particularly attractive to those who feel marginalised and want something or someone to blame. Brexiteers were smart enough to realise this - "take back control" is a message feeding the emotive. It is easy to selectively find statistics supporting the emotive arguments made. By contrast remainers mostly thought that objectivity and economic argument would win out. They were complacent from the outset - Camerons promise of a referendum onwards. Even last year the rallying call "get Brexit done" was a message feeding positive feelings of achievement. Remainers were notable for their inability to even act together to oppose Brexit. FWIW I think that Brexit will be damaging economically for a three to five years compared to the status quo. There are real risks in the short term, and not many obvious benefits. Longer term projections are more difficult to judge - the higher the level of current uncertainty the less reliable any projections become. It's a done deal and only time will tell.       1

Tue 17 Nov 20 18:15   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

As an aside, has anybody else noticed how many people who insist that BREXIT was a result of a democratic process and thus should be accepted and respected with no further discussion or revisiting are also insisting that Johnson should be alienated, undermined and displaced, despite being elected by a democratic process?

Tue 17 Nov 20 18:24   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - sooty123

In all honesty no, can't say I have.

Tue 17 Nov 20 18:25   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

Well, not here perhaps, but I have. The selectiveness between accepting democracy that you like and denigrating that you do not. The current US environment being the largest, but by no means the only, example.

Thu 19 Nov 20 16:07   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Ambo

Talks in Brussels have been suspended for ten days as one of Barnier's team has the virus.

Thu 19 Nov 20 16:45   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Bromptonaut

>> As an aside, has anybody else noticed how many people who insist that BREXIT was >> a result of a democratic process and thus should be accepted and respected with no >> further discussion or revisiting are also insisting that Johnson should be alienated, undermined and displaced, >> despite being elected by a democratic process? Who are these people? There are certainly elements within his own party, were you thinking the media? The UK PM is though (obviously) not directly elected by the populace and holds office only so long as he/she retains the confidence of the party - as Thatcher, May and (almost) Brown discovered.

Wed 25 Nov 20 11:00   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - henry k

www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/nov/24/trial-of-brexit-border-checks-causes-five-mile-lorry-queues-in-kent

Wed 25 Nov 20 11:28   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Fullchat

Immigration checks? Do they thing we are loading boat migrants into lorries and trying to ship them back?

Wed 25 Nov 20 11:56   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

This was caused merely by proper passport checking, you wait till full customs checking is added to it.

Wed 25 Nov 20 12:05   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Duncan

>> This was caused merely by proper passport checking, you wait till full customs checking is >> added to it. >> Will we do the same to lorries trying to enter the UK?

Wed 25 Nov 20 12:13   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

>>Will we do the same to lorries trying to enter the UK? I suspect not. We're not the ones with the big boy boots. The French Government has little issue in making us suffer as a result of something which they see as our fault in the first place. Whereas the UK Government will try to maintain the illusion that everything is going to be ok.

Wed 25 Nov 20 12:19   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

>> Will we do the same to lorries trying to enter the UK? No - we wouldnt be able to blame it all on the French if we did it. Last edited by: VxFan on Wed 25 Nov 20 at 12:47

Wed 25 Nov 20 13:07   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

>> >> Will we do the same to lorries trying to enter the UK? >> >> No - we wouldnt be able to blame it all on the French if we >> did it. Oh, quelle surprise www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-border-michael-gove-rules-b1761600.html

Wed 25 Nov 20 13:14   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

If one is not in the UK that link redirects to an article in Spanish about Joe Biden. Is it sad that I read quite a bit before I realised that not only was it in the wrong language it was also about the wrong subject?

Wed 25 Nov 20 13:29   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

Really? thats very weird, Does it even link to the independent? It must be a re-direction, tho why and by whom I have no idea. Quick Precis "The EU will be to blame if Brexit causes border trading chaos in January because of its “rules are rules” approach, Michael Gove says." Last edited by: Zero on Wed 25 Nov 20 at 13:31

Wed 25 Nov 20 13:43   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

Takes me to... www.independentespanol.com/?utm_source=redirect?utm_source=redirect Turning my VPN on causes it to take me to the correct place. Probably could have worked that out a bit quicker. Last edited by: No FM2R on Wed 25 Nov 20 at 13:45

Wed 25 Nov 20 14:20   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

>> Takes me to... >> >> >> www.independentespanol.com/?utm_source=redirect?utm_source=redirect >> >> Turning my VPN on causes it to take me to the correct place. Probably could >> have worked that out a bit quicker. Good Lord, who'da thought the independent had a Spanish version with completely different editorial content.

Wed 25 Nov 20 13:46   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - No FM2R

>> "The EU will be to blame if Brexit causes border trading chaos in January because >> of its “rules are rules” approach, Michael Gove says." >> What does Give think rules are then? Seriously though, surely nobody was unaware that we'd get borders back?

Wed 25 Nov 20 14:27   Brexit Discussion - Volume 89 - Zero

>> What does Give think rules are then? Seriously though, surely nobody was unaware that we'd get borders back? Well we did leave because we didn't want to abide by their rules. Its a case of "If I can't see them they don't exist" Brexit is Quantum theory. Last edited by: VxFan on Wed 25 Nov 20 at 16:14