Non-motoring > Scotch Independence Auctions
Thread Author: No FM2R Replies: 46

 Scotch Independence - No FM2R
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/12141257/Imagine-the-mess-an-independent-Scotland-would-be-in-right-now.html
 Scotch Independence - smokie
Shouldn't the title be Scottish?

Otherwise i'ts just an unadulterated whisky.

I do see the point however...
 Scotch Independence - Lygonos
Who'da thunk commodity prices can go down as well as up?

 Scotch Independence - Cliff Pope
Why would the Scots ever have wanted to be ruled by an international oil-price fixing ring rather than by a democratic neighbour who gives them a subsidy?
 Scotch Independence - Old Navy
>> Why would the Scots
>>

Only a minority who feel a huge inferiority.
 Scotch Independence - Old Navy
Obviously not the people taken in by the SNPs fantasy land of milk and honey and wealth for all prediction.
 Scotch Independence - WillDeBeest
It's mostly true but the gloating tone is unpleasant. I'm as pleased as anyone that Scotland chose to stay in the UK, but that's done now; no need to rub their noses in it.
 Scotch Independence - smokie
There was talk of a re-run of the vote before too long so I think it does no harm to keep it alive somewhat, and bring the context up to date.
 Scotch Independence - Bromptonaut
While the usual cautions about investments falling rather than rising and past performance being no guide etc did any reputable organisation predict less than $35/barrel and still dropping?

Might be worth another article looking at effect on producer countries, particularly in the Middle East. How are those countries tackling a similar or larger fall in their national income? I they cut investment and spending on facilities, to detriment of their population, then result may be political unrest in an area that's already frighteningly unstable.

If they try and borrow are their needs capable of being met without a crisis in the money markets?
 Scotch Independence - Old Navy
As I understand it Saudi Arabia is manipulating the oil price by flooding the market with oil in an attempt to bankrupt the competition of American shale oil. The don't seem to like the USA being an oil and gas exporter. I don't think the Saudies need to borrow from anyone. Other countries like the UK and indirectly Scotland will feel the low price though. I read somewhere that it costs $54 a barrel to extract oil from the North sea, that is not sustainable at current oil prices which is why the Scottish coast is littered with laid up oil rigs.
 Scotch Independence - Zero
>> As I understand it Saudi Arabia is manipulating the oil price by flooding the market
>> with oil in an attempt to bankrupt the competition of American shale oil.

Its a race to the bottom. Trouble is the shale companies are rapidly scaling up, which drives the cost down.


One thing the Americans are very good at is rapidly exploiting any opportunity that comes their way, mostly because the are very good at rapidly dumping and disinvesting without any thought of the social and natural consequences left behind when they do.
 Scotch Independence - Robin O'Reliant
>>>>
>> Might be worth another article looking at effect on producer countries, particularly in the Middle
>> East. How are those countries tackling a similar or larger fall in their national income?
>> I they cut investment and spending on facilities, to detriment of their population, then result
>> may be political unrest in an area that's already frighteningly unstable.
>>
>>

None of the Middle Eastern countries have the social & welfare commitments of Scotland, let alone those the SNP were promising. It makes little difference to a fair number of people in those countries whether their economy is in boom or bust, they see none of it.
 Scotch Independence - Bromptonaut
>> None of the Middle Eastern countries have the social & welfare commitments of Scotland, let
>> alone those the SNP were promising. It makes little difference to a fair number of
>> people in those countries whether their economy is in boom or bust, they see none
>> of it.

I wasn't suggesting UK level provision but plenty of mid-east countries have free education, healthcare etc. If those services are constrained by a drop in oil income do you not think civil unrest is a possibility?

I wasn't seeking to make a political point vis a vis Scotland but to point out that falling oil prices had an impact far beyond our own shores.
 Scotch Independence - Zero

>> I wasn't suggesting UK level provision but plenty of mid-east countries have free education, healthcare

The point is they don't have populations of 60+ million all of who have access to them. V


>> etc. If those services are constrained by a drop in oil income do you not
>> think civil unrest is a possibility?

Think you'll find there is plenty of civil unrest, high oil price or low. The high oil price helps fund security services to keep the unrest suppressed tho.
 Scotch Independence - Manatee
Bad form to gloat of course but had the vote and the oil price both gone the other way then we would be getting a master class in hubris from Eck and Nicola.
 Scotch Independence - Zero
>> Bad form to gloat of course but had the vote and the oil price both
>> gone the other way then we would be getting a master class in hubris from
>> Eck and Nicola.

Until the oil ran out of course. They kept saying "we can find more" Funny that, the oil companies who found it in the first place didn't agree with them.
 Scotch Independence - henry k
p.s.
Iran plans to be back in the race to the bottom so Saudi will have a hard time waiting for a turnaround.
 Scotch Independence - Westpig
>> It's mostly true but the gloating tone is unpleasant. I'm as pleased as anyone that
>> Scotland chose to stay in the UK, but that's done now; no need to rub
>> their noses in it.
>>
Please see Manatee's post at 1026
 Scotch Independence - R.P.
Wasn't there a theory that the USA was upscaling to bring prices down to wreck the Russian economy ?
 Scotch Independence - Zero
>> Wasn't there a theory that the USA was upscaling to bring prices down to wreck
>> the Russian economy ?

Thats a beneficial side effect, the main driver is the lure of greenbacks. (And the distaste of having to rely on r******s)

 Scotch Independence - Runfer D'Hills
Please also see the results of the referendum. The majority didn't want independence so please have a care not to tar all with the same brush.
 Scotch Independence - R.P.
Quite right.
 Scotch Independence - Zero
>> Please also see the results of the referendum. The majority didn't want independence so please
>> have a care not to tar all with the same brush.

If the oil runs out, the tar will disappear as well. All thats left is the brush worn on the front of the kilt.
 Scotch Independence - henry k
>> If the oil runs out, the tar will disappear as well.
>>All thats left is the brush worn on the front of the kilt.
>>
so look after it ?
www.bagpipejourney.com/articles/horsehair-sporran-cleaning.shtml
 Scotch Independence - WillDeBeest
Please see Manatee's post...

I did. So what? We should gloat now, just in case they might have gloated at us? It's unattractive in either direction.
 Scotch Independence - Old Navy
If you think Salmond and Sturgeon are insufferable now, imagine what hey would have been like if the referendum result had gone the other way.
 Scotch Independence - WillDeBeest
Yes, that's what Manatee said and WP parroted. I repeat: so what?
 Scotch Independence - Old Navy
Go Polish your halo. :-)
 Scotch Independence - Westpig
>> I did. So what?

I see no reason why it isn't acceptable to point out to some posturing clown that their falsities have been proven wrong....particularly if you know what their actions would have been had the referendum gone the other way...

... and if you do so with a wry smile on your face, knowing the unpleasantness deployed prior to the referendum and the constant unpleasant doing down of your own country... that constantly pays more to them than is due..

... then a bit of rubbing salt in the wound is fine by me...goose and gander and all that.

 Scotch Independence - Cliff Pope
>> It's unattractive in either direction.
>>

Well I don't find Salmon and Sturgeon very attractive in either direction either, but they are both no-holds-barred politicians so must take the rough with the smooth.
 Scotch Independence - Roger.
It's about time we geared up for shale in the UK. It may not be so attractive financially as when oil was $100 a barrel, but it would be good to be more self sufficient in energy.
 Scotch Independence - Bromptonaut
>> It's about time we geared up for shale in the UK. It may not be
>> so attractive financially as when oil was $100 a barrel, but it would be good
>> to be more self sufficient in energy.

You OK with that if the Bassetlaw field is being fracked under Roger Towers?

Or proximate to your water supply?
 Scotch Independence - Zero
>> >> It's about time we geared up for shale in the UK. It may not
>> be
>> >> so attractive financially as when oil was $100 a barrel, but it would be
>> good
>> >> to be more self sufficient in energy.

We havent got any shale oil. Surprisingly we do have a couple of onshore oil fields tho, complete with nodding donkeys.
 Scotch Independence - CGNorwich
We havent got any shale oil.

We probably do have - that's what the exploration licensed have been granted for, shale gas and oil
 Scotch Independence - CGNorwich
There you go. Looks like you are sitting on top of 4.4 billion barrels of the stuff.

www.carbonbrief.org/carbon-briefing-uk-shale-oil-what-where-and-how-much
 Scotch Independence - sooty123
>> There you go. Looks like you are sitting on top of 4.4 billion barrels of
>> the stuff.
>>
>> www.carbonbrief.org/carbon-briefing-uk-shale-oil-what-where-and-how-much
>>

Sounds quite a lot, until you read the article.
 Scotch Independence - CGNorwich
Indeed but it's a lot more than none. The problems are of extraction, both economic and political.
 Scotch Independence - sooty123
>> Indeed but it's a lot more than none. The problems are of extraction, both economic
>> and political.
>>

It's pretty close to none in the grand scheme of things. Because like you say alot of it we can't get to. Although even if we could it's not really that much a few years worth at most.
 Scotch Independence - CGNorwich
Yes the oil reserves are comparatively small. It's the shale gas that will be worth exploiting.
 Scotch Independence - Zero
>> Indeed but it's a lot more than none. The problems are of extraction, both economic
>> and political.

Its not much more than none, so little its economically unfeasible. ergo none.


Gas however, is another ballgame
 Scotch Independence - sooty123
www.carbonbrief.org/carbon-briefing-britains-shale-gas
 Scotch Independence - sooty123
>> We havent got any shale oil. Surprisingly we do have a couple of onshore oil
>> fields tho, complete with nodding donkeys.
>>

Wasn't there something about quite a bit in the Irish Sea? I seem to vaguely remember it.
 Scotch Independence - Cliff Pope

>>
>> You OK with that if the Bassetlaw field is being fracked under Roger Towers?
>>
>> Or proximate to your water supply?
>>

Giving landowners the mineral rights under their land would go a long way to making them happier.
 Scotch Independence - Robin O'Reliant
Oh dear, Alex -

www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/SNP/12144745/Alex-Salmonds-hypocrisy-of-using-firm-to-save-tax.html
 Scotch Independence - Lygonos
It makes good copy for the Telegraph, which has been flogging the anti-SNP message quite hard.

Ultimately it's what most self-employed people do if they earn a decent income, and he still gives a rather large chunk of his income to charity as mentioned near the end of the article, including £42,500pa he gets as pension for having been First Minister.

Unlike a previous article states from... guess where:

www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/9254965/Alex-Salmond-refuses-to-give-up-gold-plated-pension-like-Cameron-and-Brown.html

Politician? Hypocrisy? Not exactly oxymoronic - he's far from the worst though.
Last edited by: Lygonos on Sun 7 Feb 16 at 11:58
 Scotch Independence - No FM2R
www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-business-35512217
 Scotch Independence - Old Navy
Lots being laid up, there are some near me in the Forth estury.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-34570232
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